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Wrong economics teachings

The mainstream of economic teachings in highschools and universities is Keynesian economics.  Unfortunately, the Keynesian school of economics has gotten everything wrong and has driven our economy towards total collapse.   When a economic bubble burst, the excesses from the boom period must be allowed to be liquidated so the profitable and efficient businesses can absorb the resources tied up by unprofitable and inefficient businesses.

Government bailouts, stimulus spending, injection to money supply would only increase the inefficiencies in the economy by taking money away from the efficient and give it to the inefficient through current or future taxation.

Since the current government is having trouble financing all the spending, it is monatizing it by printing money.  This will dilute the value of the currency and will inevitably cause high inflation or hyper-inflation down the road.  Inflation is a form of theft which takes wealth away from people who save and give it to those who are deep in debt.  The market has a corrective mechanism against run-away inflation, which is when everyone is incentivized to get deeper into debt, the interest rate must rise, cooling down the growth.  Thus, to sustain the illusion of growth and prevent a total collapse, the central bank must print more money to drive down interest rates.   Such action would drive more people to abandon their cash positions and the vicious cycle goes on and on until the economy is totally destroyed.

Thus, to protect your wealth, you need to take control of your own finances and investments.  Carelessness in such matter would cause your wealth to be totally wiped out.

Stock Pick: PetroChina Company Limited (PTR)

This ADR is paying 5% dividend.   This is an Oil and China play.  Currently the stock is at 2005 price levels.  Since I believe that oil price has bottomed out and China would be the first to recover from the recession, this is a great stock for me.  In addition, being and ADR, this stock pays dividend in Chinese RMB, which is a great hedge against the U.S. inflation and dollar devaluation.

Stock Pick: Claymore/MAC Global Solar Index (TAN)

Here is a safer way to play the Solar Energy industry.  This ETF give you exposure to the Solar Industry, but eliminates individual stock risks through diversification.   If you want to invest in Solar but do not like the high risks of individual stocks, this would be perfect for you.

Stock Pick: Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (ATI)

ATI produces a diverse portfolio of industrial metals.   These products are generally cyclical.  However, I expect industrial related stocks to do well in the future as American Consumerism, Real Estate and Financial Sector collapse.

Stock Pick: Coach, Inc. (COH)

COH has finally decided to lower the price of its hand bags.  I think COH is well positioned for the future.  The lower price point in the U.S. would make its handbags affordable to the mass.  Since Americans would have less money to spend in the coming years due to the shrinkage of wealth, a good quality bag price fairly would be much more attractive than LV or Gucci.

Internationally, COH bags are still expensive in Japan and China.   COH is truly positioned as a luxury brand in Asia.  The rise of the Asian consumerism would allow COH to maintain its price levels and take in a lot of profit.

At last there is the cyclical factor.   COH stock price is bound to be hurt by the recession.   I believe with its international exposure and sensible market positioning, it can get through this and come out much stronger when the economy recovers.

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